The Great 2011 HST Referendum Voting Challenge

My head hurts after voting in the BC HST referendum. 3 envelopes. No means yes. Ikea instructions are easier. If you get confused, don’t ask me for help.

Then after navigating the 3-envelope challenge and successfully interpreted the bass ackwards question (I think), came the final – unrelated – challenge.

When I went to mail the yellow envelopes (that’d be envelope “C”), I was met with 2 side-by-each mail boxes: one for “Vancouver Island Only”, and one for “Non-Vancouver Island Addresses” (with a big X’d out red circle and all).

Seriously, Canada Post? I mean, really? Is that necessary? Do you wake up every day asking: “how can we appear more irrelevant and annoying – simultaneously – today?”

I first thought: this is easy – Elections BC is in the Cook Street Village, in Victoria, and clearly ON Vancouver Island. Right-hand mailbox, QED.

But the envelope had a Vancouver PO Box address. Maybe it’s the left-hand box – but that has the big “do not enter” circle.

I went with the off-the-island mailbox. Better out than in.

I have no idea which way this vote is going to go. But seriously, if this referendum gets more than 35% return, I’ll be shocked.

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The Briefing Note: ‘Proposed Options’ Section (with lessons from Sir Humphrey)

If there is any part of writing the briefing note (especially the “for decision” note) that really seems to cause angst for people, it’s the “Proposed Options” section – and maybe not for the reason you might think. Generally, this section (see the template we provided a little while ago to see where this fits) sets out 2-to-4-ish clear and distinct options for dealing with a policy problem, and lists the pros and cons for each. Our experience has been that that hard part isn’t coming up with the options. And working through the pros and cons for each isn’t so bad, either. It’s how to write the pros and cons in a way that doesn’t aggravate your reader or weaken your recommendation that seems to be the hard part.

Crafting the Options

Usually there are 2 easy options:

  • do nothing (if your department requires that as an option … and if it doesn’t, it should1), and
  • do-the-something-you-want-to-do (i.e., the thing your analysis has led you to).

And then there are a couple of other “well if you really want more options” options. Options 3 and 4 would be different kinds of “do something” (usually something someone else wants to do). And they should really be viable and distinct “somethings”, not non-options.2 Assuming we are not so fortunate as to have a Minister with the, ahh, intellectual capacity of the Rt. Hon. James A. Hacker, let’s go with three options – real options – that might be:

  1. do nothing;
  2. do something smallish where someone else pays for it (e.g., a new regulation); or
  3. do something big, with government money (i.e., the “Big Program” option).

The first challenge is to consider the optimal order in which to present them. Unless your department has rules about this (e.g., always present the recommended option last), you’ll want to think about which order makes the most persuasive case in the particular briefing at hand. Then you need to get to work on the pros and cons of each option.3

Writing the Pros and Cons

It’s surprising how little guidance all the “how to do briefings” books give on this topic of how to write the pros and cons. Most start and stop with an implicit instruction to “list the pros and cons”. Based on our research and experience, we have crafted a number of guidelines that are addressed in our publications and briefing courses. But we list them here briefly:

  • know what your reader (or department) expects. The rest doesn’t matter if it contradicts what your reader thinks the pros and cons should be about and how they should be written.
  • the biggest mistake many BN writers make in this section is to try to steer the reader towards their preferred option in a pretty heavy-handed way. There’s plenty of time to do that – you get to conclude with your “recommended option”, remember. True, the entire note should present analysis and evidence that logically concludes with the recommended option. But if the note reads as one long advertisement for why your option represents policy awesomeness, and all else are policy-fails waiting to happen, you may risk your credibility.
  • consider this section as the opportunity to appear even-handed and magnanimous. Even if you sing the praise of the options you’ve rejected, your recommended option should still shine through if your analysis is any good. In order to achieve this, try this little trick: when writing the pros of any option, adopt the perspective that that option is your favourite. (This will be easy for your preferred option, but adopting this perspective for every option will make it easier to come up with good, objective pros for every option). Say to yourself: “I love this option, and I’m going to list all the reasons why adopting it it would be the smartest thing the Minister has ever done.” What do the people who support this option have to say about it? Why do they like it so much, what arguments support doing this and what great things will happen if it’s adopted? Do this for every option.
  • do the opposite for the cons: for every option (including yours), say to yourself: “what a stupid idea. Here are the reasons this is a bad idea and the ways this could go wrong.”

Remember our definition of what constitutes good policy analysis, based on the persuasion perspective: “Somewhere between the technocrat and the hyper-political policy advocate, then, is where we should search for the post-positivist policy analyst. The the role of the analyst is one of having to persuade a decision maker that, having analysed the problem and considered appropriate responses to it, the analysis represent the best solution to the problem, given all the inputs that were identified, from the analyst’s perspective and are recommended from the analyst’s position within a responsible and ethical public service tradition. Having explicitly admitted that it is contingent upon the particular perspective that the analyst brought to the problem, and identifying what inputs were considered, the analyst can clearly state a professional opinion aimed at the admittedly fuzzy concept of the “public interest”: that the recommended course of action represents, as far as they are aware, the best solution available. A recommendation full of caveats, to be sure; but in the post-positivist realm, to express greater certainty, or to less explicitly state the effect of the analyst’s perspective and biases, or to have some other motivation than the public good would be dishonest and unethical. But by making transparent what all the participants knew beforehand anyway, the way is cleared for the analyst to focus on the challenging part of their task: persuading the decision maker.”

Footnotes

1. “Do nothing” is a key option to consider, because it backs us up to the problem definition stage and causes us to ask if this is really government’s problem to fix; then moves on to the analysis stage to ask if there is anything government can do or should do. It may indeed be a problem; but is it a public problem? And it may be a public problem, but does the government have the capacity to do anything about it? Also, as the legendary policy professor Dr. Rod Dobell notes, “Do Nothing” is often improperly labelled as “Status Quo”. The status quo is a misnomer as it is near-to-impossible to achieve; even if you do nothing, the situation is bound to change. On the “do nothing” option, the last word goes to “Yes, Prime Minister”, and a lesson in how to propose “do nothing” as a strategy when your reader insists that something must be done:

Bernard Woolley: What if the Prime Minister insists we help them?

Sir Humphrey Appleby: Then we follow the four-stage strategy.

Bernard Woolley: What’s that?

Sir Richard Wharton: Standard Foreign Office response in a time of crisis.

Sir Richard Wharton: In stage one we say nothing is going to happen.

Sir Humphrey Appleby: Stage two, we say something may be about to happen, but we should do nothing about it.

Sir Richard Wharton: In stage three, we say that maybe we should do something about it, but there’s nothing we can do.

Sir Humphrey Appleby: Stage four, we say maybe there was something we could have done, but it’s too late now.

2. If your reader isn’t too bright, you might get away with a version of the Yes Prime Minister ”non-option option”. But I wouldn’t count on it:

Bernard Woolley: What if he demands options?

Sir Humphrey Appleby: Well, it’s obvious, Bernard. The Foreign Office will happily present him with three options, two of which are, on close inspection, exactly the same.

Sir Richard Wharton: Plus a third which is totally unacceptable.

Sir Humphrey Appleby: Like bombing Warsaw or invading France.

(True story: I once put “Bomb Warsaw” and “Invade France” as separate options in a briefing note – but only because I knew the Deputy Minister shared an affinity for YPM, and he would strike it out before it went forward to the Minister).

3. Sir Humphrey once gave a brilliant briefing on the fly in a moving train between London and Edinburgh, listing first the options followed by the con for each (there was no recommended option in this case, as the solution turned out to be somewhat unorthodox):

Sir Humphrey: Well, Minister, in practical terms we have the usual six options: One: do nothing. Two: issue a statement deploring the speech. Three: lodge an official protest. Four: cut off aid. Five: break off diplomatic relations. And six: declare war.

Hacker: Which should be it?

Sir Humphrey: Well: If we do nothing, that means we implicitly agree with the speech. If we issue a statement, we’ll just look foolish. If we lodge a protest, it’ll be ignored. We can’t cut off aid, because we don’t give them any. If we break off diplomatic relations, then we can’t negotiate the oil rig contracts. And if we declare war, it might just look as though we were over-reacting.

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Briefing Note Template

I’ve had several people ask me over the years for a briefing note template, so I’ve made this one available on Google Docs:

This template is based on the work in our White Paper #07-10-004 “The Briefing Process in British Columbia” by Colleen Cunningham and is modeled on a standard template used by the British Columbia Government.  The full Google Docs version contains comments that guide you through the completion of the document. (The preview does not show the guide comments). Further reference to our work on the briefing note can be found in White Paper #07-08-002 “Communication in the Policy Process” by Justin Longo. To order either of these publications, please visit http://ebriefings.ca/index-4.html. These two publications provide much of the basis for our briefing note workshops.

For some thoughts on writing the “Proposed Options” section of the briefing note, see our recent post.

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New White Paper: Web 2.0 Tools for Policy Analysis and Policy Briefings

Where is policy analysis – that particular internal public sector communications function, that’s not limited to the public sector but is certainly endemic to it – heading in the context of Web 2.0? This White Paper concludes:

  • Policy analysis and policy briefings are core internal communications functions: policy analysis is a particular function in the public service, that operates at the interface between evidence and decision making; its fundamental objective the attempt to persuade the client to accept both the framing of the problem and the conclusions of the analysis.
  • Social and technological challenges are transforming how we manage the policy analysis and briefing processes: post-positivism requires new modes of collaboration and greater emphasis on persuasion; citizen engagement blurs the line between “inside” processes and “outside” processes; we need to understand these challenges if we are to effectively respond to them.
  • Web 2.0 tools for policy analysis can facilitate this transformation: moving from hierarchy to collaboration; perpetually-beta briefing notes – beyond “eventually perfect” to “always ready”; returning to the decision-support fundamentals of the policy process; addressing current negative incentives in the system; harnessing the power of public participation.
  • Barriers and pitfalls: do not entrust system transformation to enthusiasts; Policy Analysis 2.0 is a system to be managed, not a substitute for managing the system; the system can sabotage any technology that threatens it.

Part of the eBriefings.ca White Paper Series. Please contact eBriefings.ca to obtain the full document.

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“Right to Know Week”

Open Government and the right to know have a somewhat different meaning inside government than it does to those of us outside. Take, for example, the Yes Minister approach to drafting a “Statement Accompanying Embarrassing Files”: The following statement usually accompanies files that contained embarrassing information published under the 30 Year Rule. Thus it provides a rationale why the file is completely empty. The statement may read:
“This file contains the complete set of available papers except for:
  1. a small number of secret documents;
  2. a few document part of still active files;
  3. correspondence lost in the floods of 1967;
  4. some records that went astray in the move to London;
  5. other records that went astray when the War Office was incorporated into the Ministry of Defence;
  6. the normal withdrawal of papers whose publication could give grounds for an action for libel or breach of confidence or cause embarrassment to friendly governments.”
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PolicyWiki Workshops: The Art and Craft of Policy Analysis 2.0

Workshop Premises and Objectives

For the past 15 years, the Internet has profoundly changed our lives – and changed us. Now the Internet itself is undergoing its own transformation with accelerating changes in information and communications technologies and the adoption of technologies collectively called Web 2.0. This second generation web is characterized by the emergence of the Internet as a participatory platform, with the distinction between consumers and producers blurred. The shift from user-selected content to user-created content has significantly changed our on-line interactions – and has the potential to change our social interactions with it. In the presence of all this change, the public sector is seeking to adapt. Read more

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The Evolution of the Policy Approach

The Evolution of the Policy Approach

(excerpt from eBriefings.ca White Paper #07-07-001)

This paper surveys the literature in the expansive field of public policy studies, from its modern origins through to its present state. The study of public policy is broadly concerned with the processes of identifying and analysing public issues, the means by which a collective course of action (or inaction) is taken by an authoritative decision making body in response to perceived public problems, how effect is given to that course of action, and what affect the entire process has on the issue or problem being addressed.

As a course of action, policy as used here is distinct from the common organisational use of the term (e.g., “departmental policy requires that visitors sign in at the front desk”) that connotes the routines, procedures and practices of an institution. Also, following Majone’s (1988) distinction between “two types of policy analysis” – i.e., between allocating public resources among competing ends (in which rational techniques are best suited to determining the optimal solution to a given problem) and the development of arguments in support of a proposed policy – this survey generally considers policy to fall under the heading of the latter, where the focus is on “determining which assumptions and arguments would provide a conceptual basis for a certain policy of assessing the persuasiveness of the evidence that supports a proposal” (Majone, 1988: 157).

In tracing the lineage from the emergence of the policy sciences through to the current state of the art (and craft), this survey reviews the evolution of the policy approach over the past half century. This literature will follow the general theme of the continual erosion of the rational policy approach as an authoritative foundation for “good” policy making and the attendant struggle to rescue some form of policy analysis as an aid to the exercise of precautionary adaptive governance in an environment marked by uncertainty and complexity.
I begin with a brief review of the precursors to the development of a conscious policy approach following World War II. After a period of stagnation during the late 1950s, the policy approach enjoyed a “Golden Age” in the late 1960s and a period of professional and academic growth during the 1970s. These successes gave rise to a significant body of critique – both of the theoretical constructs and the applied record – that exists to today. I conclude with observations on the future of policy analysis in the context of this post-positivist critique.

To order a copy of this white paper, please contact reference@ebriefings.ca

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Digital Fishers Presentation to the Barkeley Sound Knowledge Symposium

I presented our current work on Web2.0 methods for citizen science / science-crowdsourcing at the 1st Barkley Sound Knowledge Symposium held Feb 9-11 at the Bamfield Marine Station in Barkley Sound.

Thanks to Flickr, here are some photos of the trip and the spectacular Bamfield Marine Station.

Transportation from Port Alberni to the Bamfield Maine Station in Barkley Sound for the 1st Barkley Sound Knowledge Symposium was aboard the MV Frances Barkley.


the frances barkley…10/365, originally uploaded by axiepics.

One of the stops on the boat trip from Port Alberni to Bamfield Marine Station for the Barkley Sound Knowledge Symposium is at the floating Kildonan Post Office.

Kildonan 2006_0921, originally uploaded by alaskapine.

This is the Bamfield Marine Station, specifically the Rix Centre for Ocean Discovery – location of the Barkley Sound Knowledge Symposium.

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Apps for Climate Action to Engage the Yoots

The British Columbia Ministry of Environment (Climate Action Secretariat) will launch an “Apps for Climate Action” Contest at the GLOBE2010 conference opening March 24th, 2010 in Vancouver.

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Civil Servants in Hell

A deputy minister – a career civil servant who had plotted a deliberate path from junior analyst to the heights of the bureaucracy – collapsed suddenly at a interdepartmental committee meeting and died (with his boots on, as it were).

While his colleagues were left to ponder how his departure would affect their advancement prospects, he found himself rapidly descending into the depths of hell. No Satan, Beelzebub or Melchom met him there – he simply slide quickly down a rocky, dark embankment and splashed into a fetid, putrid swamp. Gasping and grasping to find his bearings and remain above water, he was able to find a footing on some slippery rocks where he found he could just reach his mouth above the waterline if he stood on his tip-toes and craned his neck.

After a few minutes, wondering what he would do next, he noticed an old colleague – a senior DM who had mentored him on his way up, but had passed away many years before – to his left. He didn’t recognize the old man at first, but it was certainly him! But the old DM could offer no assistance as he seemed to be in the same position as his younger colleague – just able to keep his mouth above the water by craning his neck. And after a little while, he noticed that the older DM was repeating slowly – and with as little movement as possible – some familiar advice: “Don’t make waves …. Don’t make waves”.

The recently arrived DM, still pondering his predicament, did realize why he didn’t recognize his old mentor at first: it was the only time he had ever seen his senior colleague stick his neck out.

- originally told to me by my senior colleague Rod Dobell

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